Botnets grow and attacks will evolve

Websites hiding malware will evolve, as will botnets and the sophistication of attacks.

The depressing news form part of Kaspersky’s 2011-2020 cybercrime outlook report, which not only tells us what’s happening now but predicts what we can expect in the year 2020.

Back to now, it seems cyber criminals are moving away from sites that offer up illegal content such as pirated films and music, and onto sites that offer us services such as shopping and gaming. These attacks will often catch those who are too too au fait with technology, using a hidden piece of Java code, which runs and redirects to malicious websites.  

That’s not all we have to worry about with the company also claiming that within the next nine years, we’ll see some major changes that will affect the way we use PCs and the way hackers target us.

Interestingly, the security oracle has seen the downfall of Microsoft, claiming that we’ll soon be seeing the end of Microsoft’s OS domination.

It says that although the system will still stay as the key business platform, consumers won’t be tied to this. Instead they will have access to a huge range of alternative operating systems.

However, with the good comes the bad – that although cybercriminals will not be able to create malicious code for large numbers of platforms, they will look at different options to cause mayhem.

According to Kaspersky they have two ways of doing this. They can either make a weaker operating system their target, or specialise in Windows-based attacks on corporations.

This leads nicely into the next prediction that cybercrime by 2020 will be split into two groups.

The first will specialise in attacks on businesses, sometimes to order. They will include commercial espionage, database theft and corporate reputation-smearing attacks, all of which will be in demand on the black market.

Kaspersky predicts “hackers and corporate IT specialists will confront each other on the virtual battlefield.”

The second group will target what influences our everyday lives, such as transport systems and other services as well as stealing personal data.

As we become more evolved with technology and look at new ways to communicate without keyboards, spammers will have to work harder to send out those pesky mails. They’ll do it though, with Kaspersky claiming the “volume of mobile spam will grow exponentially, while the cost of internet-based communications will shrink due to the intensive development of cellular communication systems.”